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Posted: 24 Feb 2016 Michael Snyder THE ECONOMIC COLLAPSE BLOG
Uh oh – here we go again. Do you remember the subprime mortgage meltdown during the last financial crisis? Well, now a similar thing is happening with auto loans. The auto industry has been doing better than many other areas of the economy in recent years, but this “mini-boom” was fueled in large part by customers with subprime credit.
According to Equifax, an astounding 23.5 percent of all new auto loans were made to subprime borrowers in 2015. At this point, there is a total of somewhere around $200 billion in subprime auto loans floating around out there, and many of these loans have been “repackaged” and sold to investors. I know – all of this sounds a little too close for comfort to what happened with subprime mortgages the last time around. We never seem to learn from our mistakes, and a lot of investors are going to end up paying the price.
Everything would be fine if the number of subprime borrowers not making their payments was extremely low. And that was true for a while, but now delinquency rates and default rates are rising to levels that we haven’t seen since the last recession. The following comes from Time Magazine…
People, especially those with shaky credit, are having a tougher time than usual making their car payments.
According to Bloomberg, almost 5% of subprime car loans that were bundled into securities and sold to investors are delinquent, and the default rate is even higher than that. (Depending on who’s counting, delinquency is up to three or four months behind in payments; default is what happens after that). At just over 12% in January, the default rate jumped one entire percentage point in just a month. Both delinquency and default rates are now the highest they’ve been since 2010, when the ripple effects of the recession still weighed heavily on many Americans’ finances.
The chart below was posted by David Stockman, and it shows how the delinquency rate for subprime borrowers has hit the highest level since 2009. In fact, we are not too far away from totally smashing through the previous highs that were set during the last crisis…
It is quite foolish to try to sell expensive cars to people with bad credit. This is especially true now that the economy is slowing down significantly in many areas. But people are greedy and they are going to do what they are going to do.
The most disturbing thing to me is that many of these loans are being “repackaged” and sold off to investors as “solid investments”. The following description of what has been happening comes from Wolf Richter…
The business of “repackaging” these loans, including subprime and deep-subprime loans, into asset backed securities has also been booming. These ABS are structured with different tranches, so that the highest tranches – the last ones to absorb any losses – can be stamped with high credit ratings and offloaded to bond mutual funds designed for retail investors.
Deep-subprime borrowers are high-risk. Typically they have credit scores below 550. To make it worth everyone’s while, they get stuffed into loans often with interest rates above 20%. To make payments even remotely possible at these rates, terms are often stretched to 84 months. Borrowers are typically upside down in their vehicle: the negative equity of their trade-in, along with title, taxes, and license fees, and a hefty dealer profit are rolled into the loan. When the lender repossesses the vehicle, losses add up in a hurry.
It almost makes you want to tear your hair out.
This is exactly the kind of thing that caused so much chaos with subprime mortgages. When will we ever learn?
Meanwhile, we continue to get even more numbers that indicate that a substantial economic slowdown has already begun…
We just got the clearest sign yet that something is wrong with the US economy.
Markit Economics’ monthly flash services purchasing manager’s index, a preliminary reading on the sector, fell into contraction for the first time in over two years.
The tentative February index was reported Wednesday at 49.8.
Statistic after statistic is telling us that a new recession is already here. And of course some would argue that the last recession never actually ended. According to John Williams of shadowstats.com, the U.S. economy has continually been in contraction mode since 2005.
If we do not learn from history, we are doomed to repeat it. All over the world, “non-performing loans” are starting to become a major problem, and already some financial institutions are starting to get tighter with credit.
As credit conditions tighten up, this is going to cause economic activity to slow down even more. And as economic activity slows down, it is going to become even harder for ordinary people to make their debt payments.
Deflationary forces are on the rise, and most global central banks are just about out of ammunition at this point.
Everyone knew that the global debt bubble could not keep expanding much faster than the overall rate of economic growth forever.
It was only a matter of time until the bubble burst.
Now we can see signs of crisis popping up all around us, and things are only going to get worse in the months ahead…
Sometime today, our 2 millionth visitor will open this site.
Flash (2:32 PM EST) All time history 2,000,014
Researching a recently digitized collection in France, we decided to celebrate and share one of the pictures we found this week. The photo was taken by French photographer Charles Lallemand in 1865 and can be found in the archives of the D'Orsay Museum in Paris. The young woman welcomed us in her fanciest outfit, wearing on her feet elaborate platform shoes used in the hammam (Turkish baths). Some of the shoes at the time were inlaid with mother-of-pearl and silver.
This site has published features on early pictures of lost Jewish communities in Tunisia, Egypt, Syria, and Iraq. We recently published 19th century pictures of other Jewish girls from the Middle East, including Syrian/Damascus Jewish girls, found by the British Library in an endangered Beirut collection of Bonfils photographs.
Just as last year we saw the wind come and separate, we believe this year will be a year for things to be connected and made secure.
The year 2016 is the Hebrew year of 5776. The two Hebrew letters associated with this number (76) are ayin and vav. The letterayin gives us a picture of an eye, and vav gives us a picture of a peg, nail or hook. The year 2015 was a year of the whirlwind; things were turned upside down, shaken, moved and shifted! Many things were exposed and sifted.
There was a lot of divine sifting before the shifting! However, this is a year to secure some things, nail some things down. It is a time for the hook to connect things. There is an unfolding of kingdom partnerships for kingdom purposes.
A Time for Alignment, Expansion and a Year to Secure and Tie Things Down
Alignment is a key word this year! Alignment with others for kingdom exploits is critical. The who is every bit as important as the where and when.
It is also a time of expansion. As we think about the peg, we think about the tent; expand the peg and expand the tent. The Father is challenging us to dream radical, God-sized dreams and to pray bold prayers! There is a fresh wind blowing upon the revelation of faith. Faith sees and seizes. It is time to pray "Jabez" prayers again and to ask God to enlarge our territory. This is a time for the children of God to be brave. There will be personal stretching, expansion and promotion along with corporate stretching, moving into new territories and advancing.
It is a year to secure and tie things down. We see all of this mirrored in the natural in the U.S. political system as border security has become a huge debate. We are being urged to secure our borders, to create a physical barrier. This is a true, prophetic picture. It is time to secure the borders of our ministries, families and personal lives.What does that mean? And how do we secure our borders? We put Jesus front and center. We seek to honor and please Him above all else. We also kick the enemy out and use the blood of Jesus as an aggressive weapon.
We need strong prophetic preaching and teaching in this hour to expose the works of hell and to call the people of God back to their first love! I am reminded of the vision that Oral Roberts had of shaking in the last days. He said that the Lord told him there was a need for preachers with fire in their bellies! I say, raise up the Fire Carriers, Lord!
The Lord Must Build the House
We need to make our calling and elections sure (2 Pet. 1:10). This is a time to secure the foundation that our lives and ministries are built upon. All things that are not built on the sure foundation of Jesus will ultimately fail. We must be sure that our identity is found in Him and not in our giftings, talents or anointing. His house is built on the apostolic and prophetic foundation with Jesus Himself being the chief cornerstone (Eph. 2:20). The Psalms tell us that unless the Lord builds the house, those who labor are laboring in vain (Ps. 127:1). Our labor must be about His house and for His kingdom. There is no room for self-promotion or self-exaltation.
"From him comes the cornerstone, and from him the tent peg. From him comes the bow for battle, and from him every ruler goes out, all these together. And they will be as mighty men, who trample down in the muddy streets in battle. They will fight because the Lord is with them, and He will put to shame those riding on horses" (Zechariah 10:4-5, MEV).
"For no one can lay another foundation than that which was laid, which is Jesus Christ" (1 Cor. 3:11, MEV).
"But the firm foundation of God stands, having this seal, 'The Lord knows those who are His,' and, 'Let everyone who calls on the name of Christ depart from iniquity'" (2 Tim. 2:19, MEV).
"See, I lay in Zion a stone, a tested stone, a precious cornerstone, firmly placed; he who believes shall not act hastily" (Is. 28:16, MEV).
"Now, therefore, you are no longer strangers and foreigners, but are fellow citizens with the saints and members of the household of God, having been built upon the foundation of the apostles and prophets, Jesus Christ Himself being the chief cornerstone, in whom the entire building, tightly framed together, grows into a holy temple in the Lord, in whom you also are being built together into a dwelling place of God through the Spirit" (Eph. 2:19-22, MEV).
"Except the LORD build the house, those who build labor in vain; except the Lord guards the city, the watchman stays awake in vain" (Ps. 127:1, MEV).
"It shall be, if you will listen to all that I command you and will walk in My ways and do what is right in My sight to keep My statutes and My commandments, as David My servant did, I will be with you and build you a sure house, as I built for David, and will give Israel to you" (1 Kin. 11:38, MEV).
Watch for those who have been secure only in themselves and sure of themselves. The people and ministries that are about self-promotion will be removed while others are set in their place.
Shebna was a servant who was trying to promote himself in the kingdom. He did this by building a tomb for himself like those of the kings in his day had. When one tries to promote himself, the act becomes dead works, and the only thing they are actually building is a tomb. Due to his self-promotion, Shebna "the peg that was fastened in a secure place" was removed from his position and another "peg" (Eliakim) was set in.
"Thus says the LordGodof Hosts: 'Come, go to this treasurer,even to Shebna, who is over the royal household, and say: "What right do you have here? And whom do you have herethat you have dug out for yourself a tomb here,as he who hews out for himself a tomb on high,and who cuts a habitation for himself in a rock?'"(Is. 22:15-16, MEV).
"I will fasten him as a nail in a firm place, and he shall become a glorious throne to his father's house" (Is. 22:23, MEV).
Watch for true prophetic voices to become even more secure of their position in Christ, causing a greater boldness to minister a more sure word of prophecy. They must remain in holiness and continue to be moved by the Holy Ghost, and not of themselves. They will carry a sure testimony of Jesus, which is the spirit of prophecy.
"And we have a more reliable word of prophecy, which you would do well to follow, as to a light that shines in a dark place, until the day dawns and the morning star arises in your hearts" (2 Pet. 1:19, MEV).
"For no prophecy at any time was produced by the will of man, but holy men moved by the Holy Spirit spoke from God" (2 Pet. 1:21, MEV).
"The law of the LORD is perfect, converting the soul: the testimony of the LORD is sure, making wise the simple" (Ps. 19:7, MEV).
"And I fell at his feet to worship him. But he said unto me, 'See that you not do that. I am fellow servant, and of your brothers who hold the testimony of Jesus: Worship God! For the testimony of Jesus is the spirit of prophecy'" (Rev. 19:10, MEV).
Ryan LeStrangestarted in ministry after training and serving under his spiritual father Dr. Norvel Hayes. Ryan and his wife, Joy, lead Impact International Ministries based in Bristol, Virginia, which consists of several local churches and revival ministries. Through Ryan LeStrange Ministries, he travels the globe preaching, igniting revival and moving in the power of God. Ryan can be seen weekly on his television program, Power 4 Today, airing around the world on GodTV. He is the founder and apostle of Impact International Apostolic Fellowship, networking and fathering ministers around the world. Ryan has authored several books releasing an apostolic and prophetic perspective to the body of Christ. Please visit ryanlestrange.com.
Jason Armstrongis the founder of Remnant Fire Ministries based in Cleveland, Tennessee. Jason travels as a prophetic teacher, releasing kingdom strategies, prophetic insights and practical revelation to ignite individuals, families, churches and nations with a burning heart for God and His kingdom. Connect with Jason online at remnantfireministries.org
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Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that progress had been made in finding a technological solution to locate terrorist tunnels from the Gaza Strip.
Netanyahu said this in a meeting with the chairmen of communities located next to the Hamas-run Gaza Strip, as a meeting was scheduled at the request of the Israeli community leaders, which was due to the residents’ concern about Hamas’s attack-tunnels that pose an imminent threat to the safety of Israel’s southern communities.
A British man restored to life after being clinically dead for nearly an hour during hospital treatment had Armageddon-type visions while ‘out of this world’.
Joe Stevenson, from Doncaster in Yorkshire, has been speaking about his experience at Christian meetings around the country. But in an exclusive interview with this journalist, he has now shared his amazing story for the purposes of media coverage.
The miracle happened six years ago and has been verified by the surgeon involved. And the visions were uncannily descriptive of more recent events in Israel and the Middle East.
Joe was admitted to Doncaster Royal Infirmary for a total knee replacement but, at the initiation of physiotherapy the day after surgery, suffered a massive heart attack.
For the next 55 minutes he had “no cardiac output and no respiratory effort other than what was maintained by the resuscitation team”, according to Consultant Orthopaedic Surgeon Mr A S W Bruce.
When informed by the patient’s son-in-law that Joe had died, church friends began to pray – not for the Lord to raise him up, but for his family to be comforted.
His heart started beating again – “spontaneous cardiac output and respiratory effort were returned,” said Mr Bruce – and he was in a coma for the next 72 hours. But there was no brain damage and, although initially suffering acute renal failure, this completely settled in time.
“Having seen him in clinic, he has made an uneventful recovery,” Mr Bruce added in a letter dated January 25th 2011.
Now 75 and in continuing good health, Joe lives in Coniston Road, Askern, near Doncaster, with his wife Wilsie.
Dr David Garrard, a senior lecturer at the nearby Assemblies of God Bible College and a fellow member at the time of the Reachout Christian Fellowship at Christ Church in central Doncaster, said: “The miracle of the resurrection power of Christ is evidenced in what happened to Joe.”
Joe was admitted for his operation on December 9th 2009. The op itself went smoothly, but it was the following morning, as he lay recovering, that he suffered a cardiac arrest.
Wilsie called their five children, who immediately dropped everything and raced down from all over the country. Then the doctor announced: “We have a pulse, but don’t build your hopes.”
“The medical team had fully expected Joe to be a vegetable due to no oxygen supply to his brain for all that time,” Wilsie recalled. “And though his kidneys were not initially functioning, with regular dialysis on the cards, they eventually returned to normal, to the delight of the medics.”
Joe has since revealed that he had a series of extraordinary visions during his hour of ‘death’. This included a scene of “total chaos on the earth” with everyone struggling for power and some arguing over clothing and possessions which had become worthless as money no longer had any value.
“The Lord showed me armies fighting one another, even beginning to kill their own people; young men and women taking people into alleyways, killing them at random and running away, laughing. I saw pillaging and rapes.
“Then I saw millions of dead bodies inside a massive lean-to, all in different uniforms. And giant earth-moving machines pushing the bodies into a quarry – something like a picture of Armageddon described in the Bible.” (Revelation 14.20)
Dr Garrard explained: “I have no difficulty at all accepting what Joe communicates [of his visions] because… they can be backed up by many portions of Scripture.”
Joe and Wilsie are currently members of the Millennium Christian Fellowship in Hemsworth, twelve miles north-west of Doncaster.
Joe says that in the weeks leading up to his operation, he had sought a much closer relationship with God as a result of which he experienced “a deep cleansing and a strengthening of spirit”.
He now realises that we all need to get back to basic Bible principles of loving one another as one body, with Jesus as head.
PHOTO: Much of what was revealed is already happening across the Middle East.
Mark Halawa is a Palestinian Arab who, like most of his people, was raised to hate the Jews and see Israel as his enemy.
After immigrating with his family to Canada, a place where he could finally examine the issues free of prejudice and intimidation, Mark found the truth to be a little different than what he’d been taught.
That led him to actually go study in Israel and experience the situation first hand.
“I saw civilized and equal government treatment, regardless of race or religion,” Mark exclaims. “After four years of living in Israel, I decided to share my experiences with other Arabs.”
The moon is a symbol of the nation of Israel. Just as the moon waxes and wanes, first appearing tiny and then growing large by the middle of the month, the Children of Israel follow a similar cycle. Though at times they are a small and downtrodden nation, they will again become great in the eyes of all. With the establishment of the State of Israel we begin to see the truth of this statement. And when the world is blessed with the Messiah, son of the house of David, the light from the people of Israel will shine its brightest, originating in the Land of Israel and illuminating the entire world. We are proud to be sharing the significance of the Land of Israel with readers around the world. Our impact just got bigger with the launch of our new website, TheIsraelBible.com!
The connection between the planet Nibiru – also known as Planet X – and End of Days has been discussed with increasingly seriousness by a wide range of Jewish scholars.
Through a collection of heartfelt poems, artist Sarah Feld reveals the depth of her spiritual soul and her constant connection with God and the Land of Israel. Feld manages to relate the intense holiness which seems to flow through the landscape. Her lyrical poems have a rich texture of emotions, and are of a holy sensibility.
Always inspired from readings from the prophets for our times. Shalom!!!!- Timothy Estes
Hi Rabbi Tuly Weisz, Thank you for the messages, it continues to bless, teach and build in us, while enabling us. May G-D grant you peace, wisdom and grace to continue to spread the faith. Sipho from South Africa.
UK Man Has Shocking Revelations While Clinically Dead
